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Sat Dec 24 2022 WK 16 NFL Top Plays!!!

DET -2 @ CAR O/U 43

Don't look now but the Detroit Lions are knocking on the door of the Postseason. Detroit has won 6 of their last 7 SU & 7-0 ATS in those 7! Carolina can still play their way into the Playoffs as well by virtue of the pathetic NFC South! Carolina has been playing better after giving the keys to Sam Darnold @ QB1! They did however take a bad home loss last week vs Pittsburgh. The Lions have won their last 3 road games @ CHI @ NYG & @ NYJ. They should have no problem taking care of Carolina on the road with so much @ stake. The Unfamiliar Spot Stat is in effect but I'll suck it up & go against the grain in this 1. Take Detroit-2 + Over 43 & D'Andre Swift Over 63.5 Rush+Rec Yards!

BUF -8.5 @ CHI O/U 40

Chicago has been scrapy lately but that scrappiness has not resulted in wins. Although they were able to sneak in a back door cover last week vs Philadelphia, they had dropped 4 in a row vs the number before that. Bears have loss 9 of their last 10 games & not only are they a very bad team, they are also dealing with a ton of injuries. Buffalo will feast on this 2 high shell defense. Chicago can't stop the run & the Bills have a duel threat QB. The wind may be a factor but Josh Allen has the strongest arm in the league & plays in Buffalo. Bears have gone Over in 7 of their last 8. Buffalo has won 3 of the last 4 vs Chicago & all 4 went Over this total of 40. The Bills dropped 41 on the Bears last season & may take this 1 Over themselves as well. Over 40 & James Cook Over 45.5 Rush+Rec Yards!

SEA +10 @ KC O/U 50

The Chiefs have allowed 27 to Cincinnati, 28 to Denver, Yes that Denver & 24 to Houston in their last 3. It took Overtime to knock off Houston last week. On the flip side Seattle doesn't play any defense themselves & have the WR core to threaten a Kansas City secondary that really isn't that good. Seattle still has a shot @ the Playoffs but are just 1-4 in their last 5. 0-5 ATS during that span with their only win coming against a banged up Rams team. Take Kansas City Team Total Over 15.5 @ The Half. Patrick Mahomes Over 294.5 Passing Yards, Geno Smith Over 246.5 Passing Yards & Travis Kelce Over 5.5 Receptions!

LV +2 @ PIT O/U 38

Frigid temperatures & high wind gusts are expected in this 1. This will be a true ground & pound, grind it out type of football game. 2, 6-8 football teams playing Moor for pride than anything else. I would side with the Steelers @ Home honestly, lean to the under due to the high winds but My Best Bet is Najee Harris Over 15.5 Rushing Attempts!

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