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Sun Jan 2 2022 NFL Week 17!!!

LV +8.5 @ IND O/U 45

The Raiders have had the luxury of catching 2 back up QB’s the past 2 weeks in wins over the Browns & Broncos. They barely escaped both of those games but Raider fans are once again excited to be back in the Playoff Picture in the AFC. Well I hate to bear bad news but the last time Vegas has played a starting QB they were beat like a drum 48-9 in Kansas City. The Colts are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 & 4-2 as the favorite. We expect Indianapolis to win but we’ll fade them on the Money Line. ML The Colts!

NYG +6 @ CHI O/U 36.5

Giants games have gone Under the total 7 out of the 9. They are 0-4 ATS on the road in their last 4. They can’t score & suddenly they can’t stop anyone. 6.5 is a lot for me to lay on a poor Bears team & we were burned by the Giants under last week so we’ll lay off this 1!

PHI -4.5 @ WAS O/U 45

No team has been hit harder by covid than The Washington Football Team. Philly was able to take advantage of that in 27-17 win in Philly over a WFT missing it’s QB. Funny thing is that line was 10 & the Eagles couldn’t cover against a backup QB. This line has moved up to 6 & Washington has Taylor Heinicke back in the lineup. We feel 6 is too much for Philly to lay on the road. We like the Under but as is the case in the Giants game, we were burned by the Philly Under last week. We’ll avoid this 1 as well.

ATL +14.5 @ BUF O/U 44 Before we look @ the line let’s take a look @ a few Atlanta scores on the road vs Playoff caliber teams this season. 48-25 loss @ Tampa, 43-3 loss @ Dallas, 31-13 loss @ SF. See where we are going with this 1? Though the half a point causes concerns, nothing scares me about a dome team coming to Buffalo in January. Play Buffalo Minus 14.5!

LAR -6 @ BAL O/U 46.5

West Coast teams coming East playing in a 1 o’clock time zone we love Over & this is a good spot for an Over. Tyler Huntley has proved to be effective in running this Baltimore offense. They have a banged up secondary that the Rams will exploit. Play this 1 Over 46.5!

TB -13.5 @ NYJ O/U 46

Tampa Bay has clenched The NFC South. Now they are playing to position themselves for the Playoffs. It seems unlikely that they will catch Green Bay for the top spot but that 2 spot is important. We expect a huge day on both sides of the ball from Tampa Bay. Lay the points. Tampa Bay Minus 13.5!

JAX +16.5 @ NE O/U 41.5

Can New England lay 16.5 against the Jags? The answer is Hell Yes! Will they? That answer too is Yes! Keep in mind that teams that lay double digits in late December/early January cover Moor often than not. 12-4 as of late. 6-2 lately. Add in the fact of how rookie QB’s perform against Belichick led teams especially in Foxbro. Lay the Points. New England Minus 16.5!

MIA +3 @ TEN O/U 40

Miami a team fighting for their playoff lives. Playing against a Titans team in pretty much the same position except for the fact that they are playing for a Division Title in the AFC South. We like this game Under 40. Miami has been playing solid D & the weather is calling for rain. Play it Under 40!

KC -4 @ CIN O/U 51 This is a total that we have had our eyes on since the game was set. Bengals have gone Over the total in 5 out of 8 games with 1 push. Chiefs games have gone Over 4 out of 6 on the road. We’ll Play it Over 51!

HOU +12.5 @ SF O/U 44 Davis Mills vs Tre Lance in the Bay, a place where the 9ers usually struggle to cover. Yet this line is steadily moving up, last seen @ SF -13 & it’s The Sharps that’s betting the number up. I can’t lay it & I can’t back Davis Mills on the road. The Over looks good & the 9ers look like the Play but we will stay away.

DEN +7.5 @ LAC O/U 45

The Chargers should benefit from being back @ home. They laid an egg last week in Houston. Keep an eye on the QB situation in Denver. Teddy Bridgewater has struggled to clear concussion protocol so he may miss this game as well. We will ML The Chargers!

CAR +6.5 @ NO O/U 37.5 A Sam Darnold led Panthers team beat the Saints 26-7 in Carolina earlier in the season. We don’t expect that same outcome but 6.5 is a big number to lay against a team & a QB that beat you by 3 Tuds already this season. Take the Points. Panthers Plus 6.5!

DET +7.5 @ SEA O/U 41.5 What does the future hold for Russell Wilson in Seattle? His top 2 WR’s should be good to go in this 1. They are home against the Lions so we’ll take them to at least win the game. ML Seattle.

ARI +6.5 @ DAL O/U 51.5 This is a game where something has to give. Arizona is 7-1 ATS away, 5-0 ATS as the Dawg! Dallas is 9-2 ATS as the favorite, 9-1 ATS in their last 10. We do think that 6.5 is too many points to lay so we’ll look @ the total. Cowboy games have gone Over the total 5 out of 7 times @ home. Their offense is much better @ home & they will push Arizona to throw the ball. Take it Over 51.5!

MIN +13 @ GB O/U 42

Kirk Cousins will be unavailable for the Vikings in a game in Green Bay. The Packers are looking to maintain that number 1 seed & get a 1st round bye in the Playoffs. Playing against a back up QB in front of a raucous Lambeau crowd, on Sunday Night Football! Lay the points. Packers Minus 13!

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