WK 7 NFL GURU & SWAMI
DET +7 @ DAL O/U 48.5
Take away the egg Detroit laid in New England, a game in which I Handicapped to a T & Detroit has been in every game. They have covered both games vs NFC East opponents, beating Washington & losing to Philly by 3 in their season opener. Both games vs NFC East opponents also went Over the total. The Lions are giving up damn near 30ppg defensively. Dak returns for Dallas. 4 of the last 5 head to head have gone Over 48.5, 4 of Detroit’s 5 games this season have gone Over 48.5. I wouldn’t shy away from Detroit plus the 7 but My Best Bet in this 1 is Over 48.5!
NYG +3 @ JAX O/U 43
I will know a lot Moor about the Giants after this game in Jacksonville. The 5-1 New York Football Giants are 3 point DAWGS vs the 2-4 Jags that’s riding a 3 game losing streak. Looks like fools gold here however We know how I feel about teams in unfamiliar spots & the Jags being favored & by a full 3 points vs a team that’s playing good football is unfamiliar to the Jags. These are games the Giants typically lose in recent history so I won’t choose a side. I can’t see The Giants losing to the Jags as good as they have been playing & as bad as the Jags have looked recently. The last 2 meetings have gone Under the total. But I saw a Prop that stood out like a sore thumb & that’s Wan’Dale Robinson Over 6.5 Receiving Yards! The rookie returned last week & had 3 catches on 4 targets for 37 yards & a TD. He is clearly the Best Giants WR on the active roster & most explosive player not named Saquon Barkley. Mike Kafka & Brian Daboll will scheme up plays to get the shifty wideout the ball in space. He’ll top this total in 1 catch!
IND +2.5 @ TEN O/U 42
I’ma let You all in on a little secret. Indianapolis was My Preseason pick to win this division so I almost got to side with them in this spot being that Tennessee beat them already 1 time this season, earlier this month. Fortunately, yet unfortunately, that’s not exactly how Professional Handicapping works. Tennessee has won & covered the last 4 head to head vs Indianapolis. The Colts are on a 2 game winning streak since their 24-17 loss @ Home vs Tennessee. They even avenged a 24-0 division loss vs Jacksonville last week in what was Matt Ryan’s best game as a Colt. Tennessee has won 3 straight going into their Bye week after dropping their 1st 2. Both teams are Over .500 & the winner here will take sole possession of 1st place. 3 of the last 5 in this matchup have gone Over the Total. My Best Bet is this 1 Over 42!
TB -11 @ CAR O/U 40
I said this last week. The Best recipe for a struggling football team is a date with The Carolina Panthers. Now they’ve fired their HC, traded away their best player in Run CMC not to mention traded away their best deep threat @ WR & they are still playing with a 3rd string QB who is coming out of concussion protocol. The team is in shambles. Carolina has dropped 3 straight by 10+ points coming into this 1 & Tampa has won & covered the last 4 in this series & none have been decided by less than 14 points. The Bucs are averaging a whooping 37.5 ppg in those 4. & get this, teams coming off a loss as a double digit favorite the previous week have gone damn near 60% ATS in their next game & have won 10 straight ATS since 2010 if they’re a double digit favorite. Take everything You can beg, borrow & steal & put it on The Bucs -11! Also take them Over Their Team Total of 27.5!
GB -5 @ WSH O/U 41
I use to have a saying that went, if You need a win, play the Skins! Now that they are the Commanders, I have to come up with a new saying. However both teams are playing bad. Washington had dropped 4 straight before escaping Chicago with a 12-7 Thursday night win against the lowly Bears. The Pack have dropped 2 in a row. Washington will have Taylor Heinicke, who played his College Football in Norfolk, which happens to be the only thing I like about Him, under center so I expect a little Moor offense. Aaron Rodgers passing yards total is @ 231.5. He is averaging 246 Passing yards per game & Washington is giving up 244 yards passing per game. He’s only passed for less than 232 twice this season. Week 1 against Nephews Vikings & 2 Weeks ago in London against Big Blue. Washington is not neither 1 on defense. Take Aaron Rodgers Over 231.5 Passing Yards!
KC -2 @ SF O/U 48.5
Both teams are coming off a loss last week. KC fell to Buffalo @ Home by 4 & the 9ers got punched in the mouth by Atlanta. KC has won the last 2 vs SF, including Super Bowl 54! The 9ers added a new wrinkle in Run CMC & he is expected to play. It will take about a week to get him acclimated into the system but it’s hard for Me to believe that a coach like Kyle Shanahan won’t be eager to roll out his new toy. KC took a low scoring affair last season in SF. I expect Moor points in this 1. Keep an eye on the injury report but SF is still too banged up to win against a Chiefs team coming off a loss. I like The Chiefs -2 + The Over 48.5!
Wan’Dale Robinson Over 6.5 Receiving Yards
Tampa Bay -11
DET @ DAL Over 48
Wan’Dale Robinson Over 6.5 Receiving Yards
Aaron Rodgers Over 231.5 Passing Yards
Tampa Bay Over 27.5 Team Total Points
DET @ DAL Over 49